Radical Uncertainty
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Krátky popis
'A brilliant new book' Daily Telegraph'Well written . . .and often
entertaining'The Times'A sparkling analysis'ProspectWhen
uncertainty is all around us, and the facts are not clear, how can
we make good decisions?We do not know what the future will hold,
particularly in the midst of a crisis, but we must make decisions
anyway. We regularly crave certainties which cannot exist and
invent knowledge we cannot have, forgetting that humans are
successful because we have adapted to an environment that we
understand only imperfectly. Throughout history we have developed a
variety of ways of coping with the radical uncertainty that defines
our lives.This incisive and eye-opening book draws on biography,
history, mathematics, economics and philosophy to highlight the
most successful - and most short-sighted - methods of dealing with
an unknowable future. Ultimately, the authors argue, the prevalent
method of our age falls short, giving us a false understanding of
our power to make predictions, leading to many of the problems we
experience today. Tightly argued, provocative and written with wit
and flair, Radical Uncertainty is at once an exploration of the
limits of numbers and a celebration of human instinct and wisdom.
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