How to Predict Everything : The Formula Transforming What We Know About Life and the Universe
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How do you predict something that has never happened before?There's
a useful calculation being employed by Wall Street, Silicon Valley
and maths professors all over the world, and it predicts that the
human species will become extinct in 760 years. Unfortunately,
there is disagreement over how to apply the formula, and some argue
that we might only have twenty years left. Originally devised by
British clergyman Thomas Bayes, the theorem languished in obscurity
for two hundred years before being resurrected as the lynchpin of
the digital economy.With brief detours into archaeology, philology,
and overdue library books, William Poundstone explains how we can
use it to predict pretty much anything. What is the chance that
there are multiple universes? How long will Hamilton run? Will the
US stock market continue to perform as well this century as it has
for the last hundred years? And are we really all doomed?
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